How the Scout thinks
One model behind every number. Here it is, opened up.
◎ Start here — five steps
- Find a steady player. Sort the board by Last 10.
- Read the bars. Green cleared the line; red or grey did not.
- Check the opponent. H2H lists past meetings, with the sample size.
- Check the matchup. The ring grades tonight's opponent on that stat: A+ = easiest, F = toughest.
- Check playing time. A player who might sit is a pass.
◈ What PropScope is
A research tool for player props — US leagues, esports and tennis — across the biggest US apps.
One model gives every line a projection, a chance and a grade.
- Call of Duty — kills on maps 1–3 of a CDL series, or on one map.
- League of Legends — kills, assists and creep score on maps 1–2.
- Tennis — aces, double faults, games and breaks, ATP and WTA.
Demo build: synthetic players, lines and votes. Not affiliated with any app or league.
◇ Goblins & Demons
Both are Over only. Every offered line is priced at its own model chance.
O Leans and confidence
- High — 12+ points from 50%, steady minutes.
- Medium — 6+ points from 50%.
- Low — everything else, and every Avoid.
♥ Responsible play
Estimates, never guarantees. A 65% call still loses 35 times in 100.
Set limits first. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.
18+ (21+ in some places). Help: 1-800-GAMBLER (US), GamCare (UK), Gambling Help Online (AU).
≡ Every market, in plain words
What each line asks, and tonight's typical number.
A Glossary
Every word on our pages, one line each.
ƒ The Scout — the projection model
One formula, then a probability. A worked example inside.
- Season rate per full game — per 90 minutes in soccer, per 48 in the NBA.
- Expected playing time ÷ a full game — scales the rate to tonight's workload.
- Opponent factor — what this opponent allows, vs a league average of 1.00. For saves and similar work, it is how much work they create.
- Venue factor — a small home boost (1–6%), mirrored on the road. None on neutral ground (esports, tennis).
- Form factor — the last 5 games, blended in at 25%.
A full game, per sport:
| Sport | A full game | Playing time measured as |
|---|---|---|
| Soccer | 90 minutes | minutes played |
| NBA | 48 minutes | minutes played |
| NFL | every offensive snap | snap share |
| MLB | a starter's 9 innings; a hitter's 4 or 5 plate appearances | innings pitched, or plate appearances |
| NHL | 60 minutes of ice time | ice time |
| WNBA | 40 minutes | minutes played |
| Call of Duty | maps 1–3 of the series | maps in the line |
| League of Legends | maps 1–2 of the series | maps in the line |
| Tennis | one set, times the sets expected | sets |
Count stats use a Poisson curve; volume stats a Normal one.
Every chance is capped at 2–98%. The model is never certain.
Worked example — from today's data:
◧ Hit rates & the blended score
Every rate shows its sample. Missed games never count.
Every hit rate shows its sample: "4 of 5" is not "40 of 50".
Games a player missed are left out. They show as DNP — never a miss.
Both halves face the model's side. When they disagree, the score drops.
Σ Fantasy scoring — app by app
The scoring tables this build prices against.
Soccer stat lines follow Opta's event definitions.
Scoring charts change. Check your app before relying on a weight.
⇄ From demo to real data
Static files today; a licensed data feed next.
Today: static files, computed in your browser. No server, no tracking.
Real lines will come from a licensed feed, never scraping.
- Real rosters and fixtures.
- Auto-graded pick history, wins and losses alike.
- Closing-line tracking.
- Line-move alerts on saved props.
- Real accounts.
? Frequently asked questions
Is this betting advice?
No. It is a research tool: estimates, not recommendations. Your call, always.
What does "1 = toughest" mean?
Rank 1 allows the least of that stat. The highest number allows the most.
Why does the model disagree with the crowd?
The crowd reads stories; the model reads data. We show both.
Where do the lines come from?
Here they are synthetic. A real version uses a licensed feed.
Can I trust the hit rates?
Each shows its sample. Missed games are left out. Thin samples get ✕ Avoid.
What is free?
Everything except Auto-Build and Line Gaps. No price for signed-out visitors.